My position is predicated on exponential technological progress. I'm not saying it's simple. But bearing in mind here that I'm only a millennial in my 30's, I remember when the idea that you could talk to someone in another location without a landline was literally science fiction. The difference between a typewriter and a iPhone is mind-boggling. If AI progress comes that quickly, the computers will exceed us. I'm not a computer scientist, so I have no idea how this actually happens.
I also think you may be giving reality too much credit. Sex dolls might be a poor substitute for a knockout young person with class and intelligence, but they may well be a great substitute for one's actual dating market. Likewise, an AI that can't duplicate a top physician may easily be better than waiting for an hour to see a PA who basically just reads out clinical guidelines. AI will presumably replace the weak links of our society first.
My position is predicated on exponential technological progress. I'm not saying it's simple. But bearing in mind here that I'm only a millennial in my 30's, I remember when the idea that you could talk to someone in another location without a landline was literally science fiction. The difference between a typewriter and a iPhone is mind-boggling. If AI progress comes that quickly, the computers will exceed us. I'm not a computer scientist, so I have no idea how this actually happens.
I also think you may be giving reality too much credit. Sex dolls might be a poor substitute for a knockout young person with class and intelligence, but they may well be a great substitute for one's actual dating market. Likewise, an AI that can't duplicate a top physician may easily be better than waiting for an hour to see a PA who basically just reads out clinical guidelines. AI will presumably replace the weak links of our society first.