26 Comments

Not a single source - tracking down all the various federal and state programs, along with the analytics for various charities and crowdfunding was and remains a complicated slog. But there's a better source for the corporate pledged donations than that WaPo piece from a couple years ago: https://dc.claremont.org/blm-funding-database/

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Innumerable studies have shown that certainty of negative consequences for bad behavior deters better than severity of the consequences.

Daniel Patrick Moynihan, perhaps the greatest liberal thinker of the 20th Century, was prophetic. By every measure, life outcomes are better when two parents are in the home of the infant/toddler. When corrected for number of parents in the child's home, nearly all traces of black/white achievement gaps disappear. This dispels the myth that white racism restricts black achievement. There remains a small gap, and I'm happy to accept that it is due to racism.

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“The State Of the Black Family” - link in Glenn’s post is worth reading. It is a book title. A year ago, I coined a phrase “In the back of the marriage line”, as I contemplated young candidates standing in a rank-ordered line to marry the 22-year old daughter and son of a PhD Biologist/scientist colleague from undergrad. Ideally, parents want their children to be first in marriage line. My concept is about parents competing with other parents, youth competing with other youth; but most importantly the individual competing with himself. At age 22, I would have been in the middle of marriage line. At age 35, in the first 20% of line. Today, I could stand among the top 4% in marriage line if my colleague’s 22-year old children want to marry grandpa-Hepworth. They could help me with my cane, double-check batteries in my hearing aid, increase the font-size on my computer and keep young kids off my lawn. I want every 22-year old to have the knowledge/skills that I have at age 56.

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Yes to carrot + stick. My next comment is not about guns. 30 years ago - pedestrians getting jay-walking tickets at level 1 would see fine jump upward to level 2 if not paid within a very short time period and then if unpaid, ascend to severity level 3 - warrant for arrest. This problem belongs to category of “In jail for traffic tickets.” On the other hand, tickets need to be paid. I want to fire the far left and far right, so that we middle people can make non-extreme policy.

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Little hope for change, until or unless, gangsta culture morphs to affirm different fundamental values. Given the current collection of cultural leaders, I think that is highly unlikely. Not all chronic problems can change. As Marx noted, 'the tradition of all past generations, weighs like an alp on the brain of the living.'

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I’ve been arounds guns all my life and I’ve never encountered a violent one. A people problem will never be solved talking about a thing.

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Focused deterrence may not be the panacea that is suggested.

Meta studies have shown that the level of effectiveness demonstrated in previous studies have been likely overstated. Beyond the questionable effect sizes and the collateral impacts in impacted communities, there are cities and counties where focused deterrence shows no evidence of efficacy, such as Ocala, Florida, Newark, New Jersey, and Montgomery County, Maryland.

https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2022/11/focused-deterrence-police-strategy-just-like-mass-incarceration.html

In many cases, the social services parts of deterrence programs are dropped. The result goes back to mass incarceration.

As for “Liberals have no solutions”, again an except from the Slate article

The House of Umoja in Philadelphia is one case of a community-led effort that received a fraction of the attention and financial support as focused deterrence-based programs. As political scientist Vesla M. Weaver noted, a decade after its implementation in 1968 “Umoja was serving 400 boys from 73 different gangs, and gang-related deaths had fallen from 40 a year to just one in 1978.” But government funding streams largely bypassed Black-led community groups like House of Umoja for law enforcement efforts and organizations. The House of Umoja is still engaged in anti-violence work, but the scope and possibilities of care-centered, community based initiatives like it have been greatly hamstrung by the increasing reliance on, and investments in, policing and prisons.

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Urban violence researcher here. Gun control advocates’ relentless focus on banning assault weapons has shifted focus away from inner city violence, which is mostly perpetrated with semi automatic handguns. The vast majority of mass shootings are also not committed with assault weapons! I have a free Substack where I analyze homicides & shootings in over 1000 cities. Please check it out. I have maps! https://open.substack.com/pub/1000citiesproject/p/mass-shootings-in-the-us-with-and?r=d65gn&utm_medium=ios&utm_campaign=post

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"Gun" violence. C'mon, Glenn...

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Good luck. Previously the only thing that I've seen slow this down was stop and frisk, 3 strike laws, and shootouts. (Watts and Compton area, 1992 and after.)

All of these solutions have become unfashionable.

Progressives and the media prefer midnight basketball, talking therapy or better yet, a blind eye. Currently, this is a good as it gets. Deal with it.

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The solution is to put a cop on every street corner for 6 months to 2 years. I think it was the liberal Stephen Pinker that recommended exactly that. It's essentially what New York did under Giuliani. Although, I don't support the stop in frisk policy.

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